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Monday, December 5, 2016

Informing Self RE Voting Systems

I. Your Assignment If You Choose to Accept It
If you can make the time, the first subject I would like you to get acquainted with before we talk is the inherent problems with our voting, political, and governance system. These are videos that all people across the world should watch and become familiar with the topics. As you may know, Maine just this year became the first of the 50 United States to pass Ranked Choice Voting for all future voting across the state. That is a great start. Prior to now, only certain cities or municipalities in the US have adopted Ranked Choice Voting.

For future reference to readers of this document, for all people who complain about the results of elections and who will not take the time to watch less than half an hour of video about a super important subject that could allow all people to get better represented by their government, I have no sympathy. My advice, humbly given, is to take half an hour out of any other less productive time spent and watch them. Maybe less time could be “wasted” doing whatever your vices are (phone chatting, staring out the window, playing a game, watching a sport team, watching tv, hanging out at the bar, eating junk food, watching porn, playing on social media, whatever vice you probably do too much of, procrastinating, etc.). ALSO, these videos are HIGHLY USEFUL TO CHILDREN OF MOST AGES and probably much more important than a lot of things they want to do with their time. I highly recommend passing this info on to teachers, parents, and anyone who wants a better governance system than the one we've got. That should probably pretty much be all the people of the population who have less money than the highest ranking Rothschild relative.

(The following 5 video links below do a great job of showing mathematically, simply and quickly why we want to stop using an FPTP voting system and why we want to switch to an STV system. Ranked Choice Voting, which will be used state wide in Maine for elections from now on, is basically STV.)

I recommend watching the minimum of these 5 short videos in this specific order.

The Problems with First Past the Post Voting Explained (6:30) minutes, seconds
FPTP is the voting system we have now. Other names for it include Winner Take All. FPTP produces the results we have now – governance that is highly corruptible, is highly subject to gerrymandering, and inevitably ends up with 2 political parties. Neither of the 2 parties it ends up with represent much of the population. This leaves everyone feeling unhappy, powerless, disillusioned, and much less interested in bothering to vote. There may be other names for it too but I would have to check my notes.

Politics in the Animal Kingdom: Single Transferable Vote (7:10)
Single Transferable Vote (STV) is the best voting system to end up with. It can be used for single seat elections and multi seat elections with almost no difference. When it is for single seat elections, it is sometimes called IRV (Instant Runoff Voting). There are 2 versions of STV called the Droop Method and the Hare Method. The Droop Method is considered superior and is used by most of the world that uses STV. Droop slightly skews the election toward the larger majority. Hare slightly skews the election toward the fringe minority. Hare and Droop almost always end up with the same result. The Hare Method is not quite as good because, once in a while, in a narrow set of circumstances, it can end up with not exactly the results you want. Ranked Choice Voting (RCV), which will be used state wide in Maine for elections from now on, is STV.

Extra: STV Election Walkthrough (4:43)
Now that you had the basic video on STV, this video shows a larger election with more candidates in the election. This allows you to see how the system works a little better.

Footnote ‡ from STV, Hare vs Droop (3:01)
This video quickly shows why Droop is better and why CGP Grey didn't start with Droop since he expected too many questions if he had started with that one.

Footnote † from STV, Switch to STV (3:39)
This video quickly shows how a system not already using STV would switch over to being STV.

II. For Those Who Watched the Above Videos and Who Are Now Interested In Further Study

If you are willing to do further video watching for even more understanding of why our voting system is bad and how to correct it, I recommend watching the rest of these short videos in this specific order.

Gerrymandering Explained (5:26)
This video explains how gerrymandering can skew the results to make anyone win or lose to the manipulator's benefit, usually monetary. FPTP, the current FPTP voting system we use now, is easily subject to gerrymandering.

The Shortest-Splitline Algorithm: a Gerrymandering Solution [Bonus Video] (3:38)
This video explains how to avoid gerrymandering and the benefits of allowing local representation without corruption.

Multiple Party Gerrymandering [Bonus Video] (3:33)
This video explains what happens if there are multiple parties and gerrymandering. With more than 2 parties, gerrymandering, and FPTP all present, it's super easy for the largest 2 parties to push out any smaller political parties.

Primary Elections Explained (5:19)
This video explains primaries vs caucuses. closed vs semi-closed vs open primaries, the effect on independent parties, who is allowed to vote and who is not based on where they are, national conventions for parties, how delegates are picked, delegates vs super-delegates.

How the Electoral College Works (4:42, the last 7 seconds of which are just credits)
This video explains how the electoral college works and how there are some problems with the system.

The Trouble with the Electoral College (6:30, the last 12 seconds of which are just credits)
This video explains more problems with the electoral college.

What If the Electoral College is Tied? (3:36)
This video explains additional problems with the electoral college and why we should not use it.

The Alternative Vote Explained (4:26, the last 19 seconds of which are just credits)
This video explains FPTP vs the Alternative Vote (AV) which is the same as IRV (Instant Runoff Voting). AV and IRV are basically the same as STV but in the case where you only have one seat that's being voted on. Both FPTP and AV have the following 4 characteristics in common. They are both susceptible to gerrymandering. They do not have proportional representation. They cannot guarantee a Condorcet winner. Over time, they both trend toward two parties instead of allowing/encouraging political diversity. However, AV avoids the spoiler effect which makes it much better than FPTP. Because it avoids spoiler effect, it allows small parties to not compete with one another. It also forces the big dominant parties to not be complacent and forces candidates to try harder to earn the votes. It allows more diversity within the population because people who might vote for competing parties can get who they want most out of the choices they are given.

When more than one candidate runs for the same party or when multiple parties run candidates that would compete more with each other, those voters do not have to compete. For example which is particularly pertinent for states with different parties representing left leaning candidates, the Liberty Union Party, Libertarian Party, Green Party, US Marijuana Party, Democratic Party and some candidates running as Independents may all be competing with one another. In the FPTP system, these parties all hurt one another. In the FPTP system, the more candidates who run who might all lean more to the left, the less chance any left-leaning candidate has of getting elected. The same would be true for allowing diversity among right leaning political parties such as moderate conservative candidates versus extremist far right candidates. The Alternative Vote is not as good as STV because it still allows there to be a party on the ballot and still allows each party to control who is representing that official party title. But it does at least allow more diversity than FPTP. The FPTP system makes it impossible to have small parties at all.

Mixed-Member Proportional Representation Explained (4:37, the last 27 seconds of which are just credits)
This video explains the difference between FPTP (First Past the Post) and Mixed-Member Proportional (MMP). MMP is a proportional system. MMP has twice as many seats on the council and each citizen gets 2 votes instead of one. The first vote is for the person, the second vote is for the party. The video shows a case where FPTP allows more than half of the citizens to have no representation on the council. MMP allows it to be balanced out afterwards so that everyone is represented. The parties still get to decide who gets which extra seats. This happens because the parties themselves also rank their choices of 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc. before the election. That is how the extra seats get chosen. So when the party votes are tallied, people are chosen from the appropriate party until all the seats are filled. This allows a minority to at least get a little representation. MMP allows more control over the candidates than STV because they can reward or punish their actions.

STV, by contrast, is not perfectly proportional, but it is very close to proportional in almost all cases. STV also has the advantage of people being more happy with the individual person elected. In the case of STV, the citizens choose who wins the seats directly instead of the party choosing beforehand. Using Droop method for STV allows it to be closer to proportional than Hare method in certain rare cases. STV is pretty close to proportional and has the additional advantage of not having the parties have so much control who can run. True STV allows multiple people to run for the same party and doesn't have primary elections. I prefer STV over MMP. I think it is high time that the parties had less power and that almost all the power go to the citizens.

See the next video for a direct comparison of Proportional Systems to STV. In the next video, CGP Grey doesn't explain exactly how the proportions are filled. This past video, #14, shows how MMP works vs FPTP. The next video, #15, shows how all proportional systems work compared to STV but doesn't explain how a proportional system balances out the council. There are more kinds of proportional systems in the world than MMP. CGP Grey and I like STV better. It's just a matter of how involved you want the parties to be.

Footnote * from STV – Proportional Systems vs STV (1:13)
This video explains the difference between STV and proportional. As I stated under #14 above, STV is proportional-ish instead of perfectly proportional. STV has the advantage of maximizing voter happiness because the specific candidates they voted for get picked. STV is very close to being perfectly proportional. Droop method is more close more often than Hare method but either one is good. See video #4 above to compare STV Droop vs STV Hare.

Quick and Easy Voting for Normal People (1:35, the last 11 seconds of which are just credits)
This humorous video explains the fastest most efficient ways to vote for a simple fast decision like which restaurant are we all going to. It avoids arguments. You let everyone vote more than once. They all vote for all the choices that are okay instead of which is their favorite and the video shows mathematically how it's most efficient.

III. Examples of Better Wikipedia Pages and Worse Wikipedia Pages

This URL goes to a wikipedia page that is a decent description of IRV (Instant Runoff Voting for single seat elections) and STV (for multi seat elections). It will make infinitely more sense if you first go to the videos I have posted above. At the bottom of the page, they give a table of countries, states/provinces, and municipalities using STV, IRV, or RCV.

This URL goes to a cr*ppy article that seems written with the intention of being as confusing and meandering as possible. They do not clearly define things nor separate them. It would not surprise me if the content had been created or edited by people who like the dysfunctional system we have now and want no one to be able to understand STV or IRV.

IV. If you wonder why you should listen to me:

These are the 3 people I was on the phone with for hours yesterday discussing my research paper and next societal systems and in some cases comparing/contrasting them:

Edgar Cahn
founder of time banking which has spread all over the world
time banking is comprised of 2 major international networks of time banks (Time Banks USA which I like better and can explain why later) and Hour World (which I feel is not as progressive), plus several time banks in various countries that are not in either of the main 2 networks
author of several books including “No More Throw-away People”

Kurt Roskopf
a leader in the Mutual Aid Network and lots of business and leadership experience,
currently working on a project to create a network of coordinated time banks across the state of Wisconsin,
currently in training with Stephanie Rearick and Kathy Perlow (2 of the impressive leaders of Mutual Aid Network and former coordinators for huge successful time banks)
member of TimeForAll (a special international time bank for Time Bank Coordinators).
◦ “TB Coordinators” are the founders, leaders, and major administrators of time banks.
I am currently the only member of TimeForAll which is not a time bank coordinator myself.
Because of prior work with Stacey Jacobsohn in Maine, because of my vision and educational skills, and because of the other national/international organizations I'm involved with regarding next societal systems, TimeForAll just recently changed their rules and their website to allow in other important community leaders with special permission on a case-by-case basis.

Mark Muso
founder of Debt to Success System (DTSS)
DTSS is one of the 2 remaining companies that bring people to Sovereignty (a status where they don't have to pay taxes, pay back debts, can't be arrested or brought to court for anything and basically are no longer citizens of any country but are their own sovereigns with their own specialized passport, drivers license and identification. In other words, they are no longer slaves to the current societal systems).
Mark has a global plan to change societal systems. I think it's a good plan but I don't think it will necessarily be as quick to expand as others I've learned or worked with.

I want to have a conversation with you and other progressive or open-minded leaders and politicians soon, probably including Bernie Sanders once I have my data adequately prepared, but I am working with a tight deadline for this paper. The next systems that I would like to talk to you about are covered in my paper. They include 1) time banking, 2) mutual aid networks (which include time banking and which are being started across the world with different titles), 3) Ubuntu Contributionism, 4) GSAT (Group Systems Awareness Training which is an educational network that will work in parallel with alternate economy structures such as time banks), and a brief mention of Mark Muso's system which depends on sovereignty at first (mentioned above).

I also have some familiarity with alternative economies such as gift economy, local currencies, electronic coded currencies, etc.

I hope you find this document useful. We are the people we have been waiting for to change the systems we are not happy with. There is no better time than the present.

Take care or God bless or both (your philosophical choice).

In unity and service,

Pam

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